Abstract:Oil prices are in free fall. On April 7, the market extended its slide — WTI crude dropped below $60 per barrel, while Brent crude fell to $63, hitting a four-year low.
Since the start of April, oil has already lost over 13%, catching many investors off guard. Analysts now expect Brent crude to fluctuate between $60 and $65 in the short term, with no clear signs of stabilization.
Why is oil tumbling so hard?
The drop boils down to two things: too much supply and not enough demand. OPEC+ announced plans for a major production boost starting in May, flooding the market with even more oil.
At the same time, economic uncertainty is weighing on global demand, and escalating trade tensions across multiple countries are only adding to the pressure. In this “oversupply meets weak demand” setup, oil prices are struggling to find support.
Goldman Sachs has cut its 2025 average Brent forecast twice in one week, now expecting $62 per barrel, and warned of further downside risks. JPMorgan isnt optimistic either, predicting Brent at $64 by year-end and falling below $60 by 2026.
For investors, the turbulence in oil markets is far from over. With rising supply, weakening demand, global trade tensions, and economic headwinds all in play, theres no clear path to a stable recovery.
Some firms, like ING, still see room for a mild rebound later this year, forecasting a potential supply shortfall around mid-2025.
But overall, volatility is likely to remain the name of the game. Investors should be cautious of short-term price bounces, stay aware of the risks, and evaluate their own investment goals and risk tolerance before making any big moves.
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